2:00PM Water Cooler 10/11/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chook Music of the Day

Tropical Mockingbird (Mayan), Casa en Cuxtitali, San Cristóbal de las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico. “A few of the chook species that I believe this particular person may need been mimicking on this minimize are: Nice-tailed Grackle (00:25), parakeet sp. (02:51).” A number of nice ambient sounds too!

In Case You Would possibly Miss…

1. Friday’s charts: RCP averages (good week for Trump); Covid (XEC has entered the chat).
2. What, once more, was Kamala pondering?
3. Boeing information unfair labor observe cost with NLRB towards machinists (wowsers).

Search for the Helpers

“Two Circumstances in Complicity” [New York University Law Review]. “The controlling function of this piece is to establish and proper a snag in the way in which courts distinguish discrete modes of criminality: serving to, doing, and making an attempt…. [H]elping gestures are by definition exterior the weather of the crime being helped; anybody who fulfills a component of the crime is committing the crime, not serving to it…. My proposed repair is to raise the perform of elemental evaluation in complicity, partly by reviving an esoteric English doctrine, “joint principality,” which holds that in some situations of group criminality, there is no such thing as a serving to; there may be solely doing (or making an attempt to do). To soak up this instructing is to raised perceive not simply the connection between language and the world, however the stakes in mistaking tried homicide for homicide. Exactly as a result of in no jurisdiction is tried homicide punished as severely as homicide, differentiating between serving to, doing, and making an attempt entails making ethical—not simply semantical—judgments each about what has been executed and what to do about it.” • Hmm.

My e-mail deal with is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m on the lookout for (and never, say, the Crimson Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

2024

Lower than thirty days to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

If you happen to ignore the complete idea of margin of error and go along with the narrative, one other good week for Trump, particularly in MI and PA, tbough not, oddly, within the two hurricane swing states, GA and NC. In fact, we on the surface would possibly as nicely be analyzing the entrails of birds after we attempt to predict what’s going to occur to a subset of voters (undecided; irregular) in a subset of states (swing), and the irregulars particularly would possibly as nicely be quantum foam, however presumably the marketing campaign professionals have higher information, and have the scenario as below management as it may be _{MR SUBLIMINAL Fooled ya. Kidding!}.

* * *

Kamala (D): “Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer feeds Doritos to left-wing influencer in deeply weird ‘communion’ video” [New York Post]. “Within the brief clip, posted on podcaster Liz Plank’s Instagram account, the lefty influencer was seen on her knees opening her mouth for Whitmer to put Doritos on her tongue.” • Right here it’s:

NEW: Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer feeds a chip to a begging liberal podcaster on her knees in an effort to get extra votes for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.

Whitmer joined Canadian feminist Liz Plank for an abortion podcast episode.

The pair launched the next video as a… pic.twitter.com/yiSH5hypud

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 10, 2024

Leaving the query of why a Canadian podcaster apart_{MR SUBLIMINAL Sacre tabarnak!}, what on earth was Kamala’s marketing campaign pondering? IM Doc posted on this in feedback this morning, studying the video as a Communion parody. A lot for the Latino vote! Being an Episcopalian — the priest would place the wafer in my hand — that wasn’t my first studying; I noticed the video as some kind of weird domination/submission ritual* (and a lot for these younger males, together with each suburban family and not using a dungeon within the basement). Apparently the sub_{MR SUBLIMINAL snicker}textual content of the video was — please sit down — industrial coverage, particularly the CHIPS act as a result of — observe me carefully right here — Doritos are chips (and go lengthy Doritos, I suppose). If I have been Julie Chávez Rodriguez (Kamala’s marketing campaign supervisor), Jen O’Malley Dillon (marketing campaign chairwoman), Jeffrey Katzenberg (marketing campaign co-chair), Mitch Landrieu (marketing campaign co-chair), or Cedric Richmond (marketing campaign co-chair), I might be getting Whitmer — additionally a marketing campaign co-chair (!) — on the cellphone, to have a full and frank change of views. In fact it’s too late, however one would possibly as nicely vent. NOTE * Pr0nographic in character, with Large Gretch wanting into the digital camera.

Kamala (D): “Whitmer, Shapiro, Evers to launch battleground bus tour selling Harris” [The Hill]. • Nice concept. Will the flaming wreckage of Whitmer’s profession slot in one seat? Or will they want two?

* * *

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

6 weeks in the past yesterday California reported its first 3 #H5N1 #birdflu contaminated dairy herds. Immediately @USDA confirmed CA’s one centesimal contaminated herd.
1 out of each 11 dairy herds in CA is contaminated with H5 now. Staggering velocity of unfold.
How did this occur?https://t.co/2BioBG0wUw pic.twitter.com/VXzs4i2sjy

— Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 (@HelenBranswell) October 11, 2024

Social Norming

As normal with Tern, 10 = 50:

1
“I am executed with Covid now”
=
“I’ve a brief consideration span / compassion span”

I reply:
“Covid is not executed with you.
It may maintain infecting you repeatedly till you die.”

— tern (@1goodtern) October 10, 2024

#49 – #50:

50
“We’ll put a wall of safety across the susceptible”
=
“I’ll chuck billions of kilos of simple cash to my mates and different random wealthy individuals”

I reply:
“You belong in jail.”

— tern (@1goodtern) October 10, 2024

Lambert right here: XEC shifting alongside well within the nationwide variant chart, however doesn’t seem in any respect within the traveler’s variant chart. Odd!

TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

Inflation: “United States Producer Costs” [Trading Economics]. “Producer Costs in america elevated to 145.17 factors in September from 145.10 factors in August of 2024. Producer Costs in america averaged 117.54 factors from 2009 till 2024, reaching an all time excessive of 145.17 factors in September of 2024.”

Manufacturing: “Boeing information unfair labor observe cost towards placing union” [Reuters]. “Boeing mentioned late on Thursday it had filed an unfair labor observe cost with the Nationwide Labor Relations Board towards the union representing its placing U.S. West Coast manufacturing unit staff, accusing the leaders of not bargaining in good religion…. Boeing mentioned on Tuesday it had withdrawn its newest pay provide to the Worldwide Affiliation of Machinists and Aerospace Employees after two days of talks with federal mediators, citing the union’s refusal to noticeably think about its proposals. In a submitting with the NLRB, Boeing additionally accused the union’s leaders of misrepresenting the phrases of Boeing’s provide to its members and of not bringing negotiators to the desk with authority to make a deal. Boeing mentioned the union had engaged in a ‘sample of unhealthy religion bargaining’ and its ‘public narrative is deceptive and making it tough to discover a resolution for our workers.’” Caught pig squeals. Extra: “The union mentioned on Tuesday that Boeing was ‘hell-bent’ about sticking to its ‘greatest and closing’ proposal of a 30% wage improve over 4 years that it provided final month after the strike started. The union had declined to place the proposal to its members for a vote and mentioned this week it deliberate a brand new survey of members. Boeing famous the union later acknowledged the planemaker had improved its provide, with IAM 751 president and lead negotiator Jon Holden telling Reuters on Wednesday that the proposed modifications have been ‘meager.’” • Boeing’s provide didn’t deal with defined-benefit pensions, requested by staff. And it’s a bit wealthy for Boeing administration to complain a few public narrative once they issued their revised proposal by the press, and never on the negotiating desk. Good man, that Ortberg fella.

Manufacturing: “Tensions are rising within the Boeing strike after the planemaker filed a grievance towards the union” [Business Insider]. “Reinstating the pension plan stays a key problem for a lot of on the picket line — however Boeing’s chief negotiator, Mike Fitzsimmons, informed The Seattle Instances there may be ‘no situation’ the place it will occur. In a press release shared with BI, Boeing mentioned it stays dedicated to reaching a compromise. ‘The union’s public narrative is deceptive and making it tough to discover a resolution for our workers,’ it added.”• So what’s fallacious with the union’s “public narrative”? They weren’t Fitzsimmons’ stenographers? And their not “your” workers, buddy. Sheesh.

Manufacturing: “FAA’s ‘failing system’ of monitoring Boeing blasted by federal watchdog” [Seattle Times]. “The FAA hasn’t moved to proactively establish threat or demonstrated the way it will resolve allegations of undue strain inside Boeing manufacturing, the [the Transportation Department’s inspector general] discovered. Among the many different findings: The FAA doesn’t have an efficient system overseeing particular person Boeing factories, hasn’t ensured the corporate has successfully resolved its provider points, and hasn’t assessed the effectiveness of Boeing’s security administration system, which focuses on product and office security. ‘By bettering its oversight mannequin to raised deal with threat, FAA can assist to enhance a failing system and restore public belief within the security of Boeing plane,’ the report mentioned. In response, the FAA agreed with the suggestions and pointed to its addition of extra security inspectors in Boeing and Spirit AeroSystems services. The company mentioned it plans to totally implement the inspector normal’s suggestions between 2025 and 2028.” • Do I actually have to offer credit score to Buttigeig?

Manufacturing: “Boeing and Airbus have a serious headache in frequent” [Quartz]. “Christian Scherer, head of the business airliner division at Airbus, informed a gathering of French aerospace journalists that Spirit’s price of manufacture is ‘not precisely the place we wish.’ Airbus is going through strain to massively improve its airplane deliveries in an effort to hit its year-end steerage, which it has already needed to minimize as soon as this yr amid provide chain difficulties. When the door plug fell off a Boeing 737 Max 9 in January and triggered a Federal Aviation Administration-imposed throttling of manufacturing to deal with high quality management points, Airbus informed buyers that it didn’t anticipate to hit any of its personal plane-building roadblocks. Nevertheless it has — to its clients’ frustration. (Moreover the Spirit velocity problem, Scherer informed the French gaggle that it was additionally operating into delays with engine provider CFM Worldwide… It’s particularly ironic for Airbus as a result of the window of alternative that Boeing’s misfortunes opened was because of a fuselage constructed by Spirit, which Boeing spun out in 2005. To be able to minimize down on so-called ‘traveled work,’ a producing course of the place airplane elements are assembled out-of-order in an effort to velocity completion, Boeing reabsorbed the non-Airbus elements of Spirit in July for $8.3 billion.”

Immediately’s Concern & Greed Index: 74 Greed (earlier shut: 70 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 73 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Oct 11 at 1:44:36 PM ET.

Zeitgeist Watch

“Calvin’s Dad Explains the Pre-Coloration World” [Daring Fireball]. • Please click on by, however what a pleasure. Calvin’s Dad was one of the best bullshit artist ever.

Information of the Wired

“Cincinnati’s Gold Rush Cash, Steeped In Thriller, Are Value A Fortune Immediately” [Handeax]. “We all know the Cincinnati firm headed westward hauling a machine for placing cash as a result of the diary of certainly one of Physician Alexander Butler Nixon is preserved on the California State Library in Sacramento. In line with that diary, the Cincinnati firm paradoxically realized, as soon as they have been on the dusty path, that they have been too nicely outfitted. John Phillip Reid, in a 1976 article for the Hastings Regulation Journal, described the dilemma: ‘Earlier than reaching Fort Kearney in Nebraska the members of the Cincinnati firm had found that their wealth was not a supply of energy. It was as a substitute a supply of disharmony, dissension, and division.’” • Hmm. I’m picturing a survivalist with a machine for placing cash of their basement…

“A language of lovely impurity” [Wrong Side of History]. “What [English] would appear to be if Harold II had not died on the well-known (breme) battle (gouth) of Hastings – and English had not undergone Frenchification following the Norman Conquest: On this world, lamentation is sorrowword, unanimous turns into sameheart and acceptable is changed with thankworthy. The US Declaration of Independence could be the ‘Forthspell of Selfdom’ whereas Alcoholics Nameless renamed as The Unnamed Overdrinkers.• I fairly like “The Unnamed Overdrinkers” (even when nameless means I don’t select to offer me title, not that I don’t have one). Likely examples could possibly be multiplied.

Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at first of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SD:

SD writes: “Taken a number of days in the past in Imlaystown, NJ. The sunflowers have been stuffed with honeybees making ready for colder days to return.”

Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. Materials right here is Lambert’s, and doesn’t categorical the views of the Bare Capitalism web site. If you happen to see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives: