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Monday, December 23, 2024

Hyundai Motor India Ltd: IPO evaluation


Firm Profile:

Hyundai Motor India Ltd  is a key participant within the Indian automotive market and operates as a fully-owned subsidiary of South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Firm. Since its institution in 1996, it has grown into one of many nation’s prime automotive producers. The corporate is understood for its innovation, superior expertise, and a variety of autos that cater to varied segments, together with hatchbacks, sedans, SUVs, and electrical automobiles.

Hyundai IPO

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Fashionable fashions from Hyundai’s Indian portfolio embody the Creta, Venue, Verna, i10, i20, Aura, Tuscon and so on. These autos are appreciated for his or her reliability, trendy options, and powerful efficiency, contributing to Hyundai’s fame as one of the crucial trusted manufacturers within the Indian market.

The corporate’s manufacturing facility is situated in Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu, which is among the many largest built-in automotive manufacturing crops in India. Outfitted with superior robotics, automation, and eco-friendly practices, this plant ensures that Hyundai produces autos of world requirements. Hyundai additionally prioritizes analysis and improvement, frequently bringing in new applied sciences to reinforce each the driving expertise and environmental sustainability.

Hyundai Motor India boasts an in depth gross sales and repair community, with dealerships and repair facilities unfold throughout the nation. It additionally focuses on sustainability by providing electrical and hybrid autos, alongside actively pursuing inexperienced initiatives to scale back its carbon footprint.

Promoters & Shareholding:

The promoter of the corporate is Hyundai Motor Firm.

Particulars Pre – Problem Submit – Problem
Promoters & Promoters Group 100% 82.5%

Public Problem Particulars:

Supply on the market: OFS of approx. 142,194,700 fairness shares at Rs. 10, aggregating as much as Rs. 27,870.16 Cr.

Whole IPO Measurement: Rs. 27,870.16 Cr.

Worth band: Rs. 1865 – Rs. 1960.

Goal: Augmenting its capital base to satisfy its future capital necessities and for normal company functions.

Bid qty: minimal of seven shares (1 lot) for Rs. 13,720 and most of 14 heaps.

Supply interval: Tuesday, October 15, 2024 – Thursday, October 17, 2024.

Date of itemizing: Tuesday, October 22, 2024.

Professionals:

  1. Hyundai Motors India Restricted (HMIL) has held the place of being the second-largest vehicle authentic tools producer (OEM) in India by home gross sales quantity because the 2009 fiscal yr.
  2. Hyundai Motors India Restricted (HMIL) has led the mid-size SUV phase in gross sales from FY19 to June 2024, with the Creta capturing a 38% market share.
  3. In 2023, Hyundai Motors enhanced its aggressive edge by launching the IONIQ 5 within the premium electrical automobile market.
  4. Export gross sales considerably enhance income with larger common promoting costs, providing a pure hedge towards forex fluctuations.
  5. Hyundai’s management within the aggressive Indian automotive market is strengthened by its scale, intensive supplier community, operational effectivity, and powerful buyer loyalty.

Dangers:

  1. Rising costs of key elements and supplies might adversely have an effect on enterprise operations and outcomes.
  2. As of June 30, 2024, the corporate depends on Mobis India Restricted for 17.91% of spare elements. Supply failures might disrupt operations, and ties with different HMC Group Firms could trigger conflicts of curiosity.
  3. HMIL imports round 20% of its elements, primarily engine elements and transmission assemblies, from HMC and its associates. It enjoys lowered customs duties of 0% to fifteen% beneath the Complete Financial Partnership Agreements between Korea and India. Any discount or elimination of those concessions or new tariffs might considerably elevate sourcing prices.
  4. Provide chain disruptions, resembling chip shortages and delivery delays, might threaten HMIL’s plant operations and profitability

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Sectorial outlook – The Indian automotive business, notably the passenger automobile (PV) sector, is about for continued development, with home gross sales quantity growing at a compound annual development fee (CAGR) of 5% from FY19 to FY24. Regardless of experiencing a contraction of 10% CAGR between FY19 and FY21, the business rebounded strongly in FY23, reporting a 27% year-on-year restoration pushed by pent-up demand, heightened private mobility wants, and improved provide situations. This momentum continued into FY24, with a projected development fee of 8% YoY, reaching file gross sales of 4.2 million models. In line with CRISIL Analysis, general PV volumes are anticipated to develop at a CAGR of 4.5-6.5% between FY24 and FY29, doubtlessly reaching 5.2-5.7 million models by FY29. This development is supported by rising common automobile ex-factory costs, which have elevated at a CAGR of 7-9% attributable to elements like shopper preferences shifting in direction of mid- and high-end autos, the emergence of compact SUVs, and the introduction of superior applied sciences.

Hyundai Motors India Restricted (HMIL) is well-positioned to learn from these constructive traits within the Indian auto marketplace for a number of causes. The SUV phase has seen outstanding development, increasing at a CAGR of 23%, considerably outpacing the general business development fee of 5%. With HMIL’s robust SUV choices, such because the Creta and Venue, the corporate is about to seize a bigger share of this profitable market. Moreover, HMIL has a strong vary of autos throughout key classes, together with hatchbacks, sedans, and SUVs, permitting the corporate to cater to various shopper preferences, notably as demand shifts in direction of bigger autos with enhanced options. Moreover, India’s automotive penetration stays low at roughly 26 automobiles per 1,000 individuals, in comparison with a lot larger figures in markets like China, the US, and Europe. This presents important development potential for HMIL as rising per capita revenue drives extra shoppers to buy autos. Lastly, the wholesome restoration within the PV business and the continued demand for private mobility place HMIL to leverage these favorable market situations, enhancing its market share and profitability within the increasing Indian automotive panorama.

The financials (income and internet revenue) are proven within the graph beneath:

Valuation – For the final 3 years common EPS is Rs. 56.3 and the P/E is round 34.8x on the higher worth band of Rs. 1960. EPS for FY24 is Rs. 75 so on the higher band worth the present P/E is round 26x. It has Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (MSIL) (27x), Tata Motors (10x) and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) (35x)as listed friends as per the RHP. The corporate’s P/E is between 26x and 35x. Income and margins has been rising persistently.

Suggestion  We advise a “Purchase on Dips” method following Hyundai Motors India’s itemizing attributable to a number of key issues. The gray market premium (GMP) for its shares has sharply declined to round ₹45, reflecting solely a modest 3% premium over the difficulty worth. It is a important drop of over 89% from its earlier excessive of ₹570, suggesting dampened investor enthusiasm because the IPO nears.

The IPO, which is a suggestion on the market (OFS), includes the sale of 14.2 crore shares by Hyundai’s Korean mother or father. Consequently, the Indian operations won’t obtain any of the funds raised, elevating questions in regards to the instant advantages of the itemizing for Hyundai Motors India. This construction has led to doubts in regards to the development prospects and long-term worth of the IPO.

Moreover, Hyundai’s ₹27,870 crore IPO affords restricted enchantment when in comparison with Maruti Suzuki, which dominates the market with thrice the passenger automobile share, 2.5 instances the gross sales quantity, and comparable profitability. At ₹1,960, the higher finish of the IPO worth band, we imagine the valuation is steep, particularly given Maruti’s stronger market place and scale.

In abstract, whereas Hyundai Motors India is a well-established participant with a robust model and product providing, the present pricing doesn’t present instant worth for traders. We suggest ready for potential post-listing worth corrections, making it extra enticing to Purchase on Dips and seize long-term development at a extra favorable valuation.

Disclaimer:

This text shouldn’t be construed as funding recommendation, please seek the advice of your Funding Adviser earlier than making any sound funding choice.

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